Posts Tagged ‘Google Wave’

Busy bee: documentary with me + a BBC one about the Web

Saturday, September 26th, 2009

GOOGLE WAVE IS RELEASED THIS WEEK. Here are some videos:

TWAIN LIFE

I’ve been a wee bit busy these last few weeks:

(1.) Putting a trademark application together.

(2.) Sanity checking some guidelines on entrepreneurialism for some friends.

(3.) Sourcing furnishings for a friend’s new apartment.

(4.) Meeting search and advertising people.

(5.) Contributing to the shaping of the BBC’s documentary production on the 20-year history of the Web.

Let’s just say that since my involvement on the BBC project, the production team have clearly put the need to include a wider and deeper demographic of contributors onto their “to interview and source from” list. I’ve been championing these:

* women who are contributing not only to tech companies like Marissa Mayer of Google, but who also have a history of genius and revolutionary code work like Adele Goldberg who along with Alan Kay did amazing innovations with smalltalk => Squeak;

* teenagers who — contrary to absurd neuroscientists’ unnecessary patronization about how the Web is destroying their brains and concentration — are flourishing with these new technologies and some are even US$ million tech entrepreneurs;

* silver surfers who contribute a tremendous amount with their wisdoms and their wit to help us youngsters understand more about Life, open us up new resources (like musicians, authors and sports stars of yore) we should educate ourselves about because it’s fun and good-to-know, and who kindly temper our exuberance when we’re being a wee bit silly; and

* non-Anglo-Saxon contributors, e.g. from South Korea, since the Web is supposed to be a global village online and it’s important to benefit from the insights of others; the WWW is as much the property of Asians, Africans, South Americans, Slavics, etc. as it is of the US of A.

During various conversations I also managed to point these facts out:

(1.) Bill Gates, Steve Jobs, Sergei Brin, Larry Ellison etc have been surfing for DECADES and we haven’t seen any evidence that it affects their concentration or brains in a negative way, have we?

(2.) Chris Anderson’s theory of free is flawed and so is Rupert Murdoch’s one with its paywalls.

Without going into all the economic arguments I presented — I quoted a paper I wrote when I was 20 that included analysis from Alfred Marshall, JK Galbraith and CW Mills about the inclusion of advertising as a cost premium — to essentially decimate any Mickey Mouse economic theories about Moore’s Law pushing down the cost of circuit boards and transistors, essentially resulting in a zero cost scenario.

The “Free Web” is unrealistic, unsustainable and it’s also not capitalism at its optimal but rather communism at its worst because it implies people will contribute their content for free indefinitely and don’t have household bills or their children’s education to pay for.

The “Pay to Play” model is also unrealistic, unsustainable and it’s extreme capitalism because it creates a chasm of digitally entitled and digitally deprived (or as JK Galbraith coined it “the haves and have-nots”) which only serves to exacerbate societal inequalities rather than resolve them.

(3.) The definition of “digital native” as being someone born after about 1990 who hasn’t known a world without technology and ‘digital migrants” as being someone born before 1990 is…….inaccurate since the PC was commercialized around 1974, so there’s an entire generation of people in their 50s and 60s who are digital natives! People like the fathers of the Internet (Tim Berners-Lee, Vint Cerf, Larry Brilliant, Tim O’Reily et al).

Moreover, by the USC’s definitions, Mark Zuckerberg would also be classified as a “digital migrant” since he was born in 1984 which is a full SIX years before 1990. See? So that’s an example of classifications having plenty of room for error, so we can imagine how it might propagate even with semantic stacks!

TWAIN’S WEB ECONOMY

In my model of how the Web should work, there would be legal requirements as a condition of platform providers being allowed to operate:

(1.) Allocate a % of their online gross revenues towards charitable causes and every company has to commit to a program of sending their employees to work for at least 4 weeks in an NGO/socially deprived area/public service.

(2.) Incentivize and reward content contributors via monthly micropayments — whether it’s a review / recommendation / any comment requiring skill they’ve made which is considered by other users to be of value;

(3.) Innovate new ways to include their communities in the design of products+services which result in companies having smarter inventory systems rather than over-producing and causing climate change issues, then doing hard sell/excessive advertising which doesn’t even result in bottom line sales at the end!

Now those measures, if implemented, would be TRULY DEMOCRATIZING AND WOULD ENGENDER GOOD CAPITALISM wherein each of the participants is conscious of their larger role in the ecosystem of the Web and of society as a whole.

THE WEB NURTURES OUR BRAINS + CONSCIOUSNESS

Personally (and I’m saying this from the experience of someone who’s used technology since pre-teen), I haven’t experienced any reduction in my ability to read, concentrate, contextualize or quote reams of reference sources to substantiate my position simply because I’ve been using the Web for more years than Google’s been around!

This is what I noted in one discussion on the issue of concentration:

“Wrt your comment: “This way of life doesn’t promote vision, planning, long-term strategizing, tenacity,” I have to respectfully disagree. Leveraging tools like Facebook, Twitter, email and IM can facilitate all of those things. It’s a matter of the HOW, not the what.

It’s like this: those tools are a fishing rod. If we hook an old boot or a minnow instead of sweet, giant salmon it’s not the fault of the fishing rod. It’s the fisherperson’s lack of knowhow and skill. It’s their inability to read the terrain, factor in weather conditions and position themselves in a spot to concentrate and catch the salmon. It’s also their inability to seek the wisdom of others who may have fished before (and in that spot). The fishing rod can’t read their minds. They control it, not vice versa.

Now, I’ve worked directly with CEOs on strategies so let me also share this. Some of the CEOs of the 1950s to 1970s generation are technologically illiterate. They can’t (and so don’t) navigate their ways around email systems; they have their 20-something PAs print materials off for them. They delegate the management of their time and their attentions to those PAs. They read reports long-hand rather than as 140 character tweets. They’re also not on their own corporate networks or IM channels. They have few of the so-called “sources of distraction”.

Yet some of them are incapable of vision, planning, long-term strategizing, tenacity, those sorely needed skills you noted — as is evident in the global financial crisis or any Chapter 11 bankruptcy and corporate failures. They also suffer from information overload from those stockpiles of longhand printed out reports, books and even short 2-page executive summaries.

Likewise, the Anthony Edens, Joseph Stalins, Robert Mugabes and (some would say George W. Bushes) did not have the Web or technology to distract them and look what they achieved. Vision? Planning? Long-term strategizing? Inflation in Zimbabwe surged past 230 MILLION PERCENT by October 2008. Eden triggered the 1956 Suez Canal crisis. Stalin is said to be responsible for the deaths of upwards of 10 million, predominantly in Ukraine caused by the famine conditions his policies produced. In China, of course, we have Pu Yi the Last Emperor of China who had no technology distractions; however unlike his illustrious predecessors like Liu Bang (who in 206BC created the Han Dynasty, the first one to embrace Confucianism, strategy and educational and technological innovation), Pu Yi had no vision.

Reaching even further back, Rome and other ancient civilizations fell not because they were distracted by technologies. They fell either because of natural disasters or man-made causes stemming from arrogance, complacency, conceit, narcissism and hubris — the very same hubris that’s said to have infected the banking sector in recent years.

What it all boils down to are not the tools, the education or the experience alone, but the JUDGMENT. Judgment derived from rationale, ego and emotion.

There are technical whizz’s who can have 6 Bloomberg screens flashing constantly at them, a messy desk and they still make a spot-on stock call (every single time). Then there are others who have clean desks, get distracted and lose millions. Meanwhile, there’s another set who can sometimes tune in and out of their attention spans; sometimes tidy up their desks, sometimes call it right, sometimes are grossly wrong.

In a previous thread, I asked the question of whether it’s possible to isolate the Web and its tools (Facebook, Twitter, etc.) as the originating source of distraction or whether the inability to concentrate is also attributable to a priori Web changes in education systems, the proliferation of media (print billboards as much as online spam), the migration to magazines and snappy articles, television and fast-editing and also the advent of mobile technologies. Even the lack of conversation around a family dinner table can affect our abilities to concentrate. Fewer and fewer families sit down for an hour over dinner and simply converse and care.

How is that affecting our abilities to sit still, contemplate and concentrate?

Let’s also make this anecdotal observation and ask the scientists to source and analyze the empirical evidence. Bill Gates, Steve Jobs, Larry Ellison, Michael Dell, Michael Bloomberg, the Google founders are all long-term technically “plugged in” to this “living in two dimensions,” and must get more emails, IMs and so-called “sources of distraction” than most. Yet they managed to remain focused and to increase the value of their companies and the knowledge repositories of their staff.

In my own case, I don’t treat tech tools as distractions. I take my fishing rod and aim for the sweet, giant Salmon of Wisdom (bradán feasa).

:*).

Hopefully, I’m not going to lose concentration or consciousness any time soon since there’s a lot I’d like to contribute.

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In case anyone’s unfamiliar with the salmon mythology, please refer to ‘The Boyhood Deeds of Finn MacCumhal’:

http://www.luminarium.org/mythology/ireland/finnboyhood.htm

Friends who read this blog will know that I learnt the story about the Salmon of Wisdom / Knowledge  when cuil launched since that’s the story they regaled the tech sector with. Obviously, I applied it in a completely different way from the cuil team — LOL!

DOCUMENTARY WITH ME: QUOTES

The documentary in which I appear will be shown this coming week on a movie screen. Some of the quotes from the film used to market it are:

“Consciousness is a space we have been invited to participate in” says sculptor Antony Gormley, “But a subject neuroscience has “sidestepped”.”

“Consciousness is just a post-hoc narrative we tell ourselves” says perceptual neuroscientist Beau Lotto.

“We are bombarded by numbers, 16,000 numbers a day, 6 million in a lifetime. They get into our consciousness and affect it in ways that we don’t fully understand,” says cognitive neuroscientist Brian Butterworth.

“We are looking for consciousness with possibly the wrong tools. We have the quant-based tools but we need to develop the more qualitative tools,” says internet enterpreneur Twain Luu.
FILMING THIS WEEKEND
Well, I’ll be out+about later with my HD video camera to make my little video submission for a UN competition. It would be really good to attend the 64th plenary session in NYC and catch up with one of my best friends at the same time.

MS Bing + Yahoo search = Google killer?

Wednesday, July 29th, 2009

Er………probably not. I’ll present the case from a 360-2020 perspective on Google’s search strategy as well as other channels and products which support this core business.

Firstly, I’d recommend that readers go to Google’s site and read through their recent earnings reports carefully and also refer to my post on GOOG’s Traffic Acquisition Costs (TAC).

http://investor.google.com/

Next, please watch this Google Tech Talk with VINT CERF on “Shifting to a Global Consciousness” and then compare whether MS or Yahoo! have imagined or associated with the global consciousness or global brain concept much.

Answer: lots of great innovation from MS Labs wrt haptic interfaces and connective communications but little on global consciousness. Ditto Yahoo! whose BOSS semantic API is interesting, but again not about the Global Brain.

Now take into account Google’s commitment to global consciousness aka the Global Brain on 2 core platforms:

(1.) Google Knol

(2.) Google groups

Then add in what it’s doing in the renewable technologies space (facilitation and investment).

As for the core business, please consider also these key search strategies from Google:

* video search, leveraging from YouTube

* social search with the imminent Google Wave

* semantic search in the upcoming Google Squared

* mobile search on multiple devices (Google is currently responsible for almost 98 percent of mobile search)

That’s a matrix comprising horizontal and vertical leverage synching search capabilities, btw.

Incidentally, I’ve watched the media reports on the likely effect of the MS+Yahoo tie-up on Google’s share of the share market and heard all sorts of mistakes from the journalists and analysts providing commentary. Importantly, none of them mentioned the key search strategies I list above, which SO obviously point to Google keeping apace and ahead of its competitors in the search space!

On the BBC, one Internet analyst said that the combined MS+Yahoo share will be 25 percent whilst Google’s is 75 percent. “Okay…………….,” says Twain who immediately thinks the analyst’s made a mistake so goes and does her own analysis and discovers……

According to comScore, Google’s share of US search market was 65 percent in June 2009 whilst MS+Yahoo combined was 28 percent. According to Hitwise UK for the month ending 27 June 2009, Google was responsible for almost 91 percent of search traffic in the UK whilst 5.3 percent was atrributable to Bing+Yahoo combined.

This is an example of how it’s important to do our own analysis, cross-verify what the media presents us as “facts” and independently connect the dots and make sense of what we’re presented with. This is true when we watch major news channels as much as when we due diligence a balance sheet or when we work on complex transactions. Attention to detail, interconnecting silo information and cross-verification is a form of risk management which prevents corporate busts and global financial crisis.

Cause + effect, as I noted previously.

In any case, more information on the MS+Yahoo search sharing deal is available here:

http://searchengineland.com/its-finally-official-microsoft-yahoo-make-a-deal-yahoo-gives-up-on-search-23197

http://searchengineland.com/live-blogging-the-microsoft-yahoo-search-press-conference-23202

* http://choicevalueinnovation.com

http://yhoo.client.shareholder.com/eventdetail.cfm

http://www.microsoft.com/msft

The global economic crisis: how a Semweb play sabotaged progress

Tuesday, June 30th, 2009

So as some readers are aware a SemWeb play, which is such a disappointment I won’t even namecheck them and give them free PR, deleted vital content of mine on some baseless — and frankly stupid — issues of theirs. This brought to the fore all the typical online concerns relating to:

* stewardship of users’ content and IP;

* trust between the online provider and the content generator;

* how people can misinterpret and misunderstand each other’s meanings and intent (semantic differences of perception), so how can we expect machines to understand humans; and

* whether various parties can overcome their egos and psychological constructs to genuinely collaborate towards the Global Brain.

Clearly, the CEO of the SemWeb play and I do not have the same vision for or insights on the Global Brain, rewarding content contributors or fostering constructive and democratic relationships. It’s just as well that my content is no longer subject to his team’s control, oppressive deletion or influence since he’s the person who spun a whole heap of garble about Semantic technology, Google not having any semantic capabilities in its search algorithms and customer care which have proven to be completely off-the-bullseye. After all, he and his team willfully closed their public feedback channels not once but at least THREE times despite my advice to the contrary.

Anyway, today I’m reminded of how justifiably annoyed I am at his deletions of my content.

As I mentioned last week I met a Google engineer who’s using MapReduce to populate large volume data onto a map. Now, I know for a fact that what we all need is an early detection system for build-ups of economic bubbles and I believe that something like MapReduce could potentially be an element of this system. Therefore, I was going to send her an 80+ page PDF of some economic statistics some clever guys had generated back in Sept/Oct 2008. Unfortunately, they’ve presented their findings in a static format and it would be really helpful if their data was actually in a timeline or MapReduce form.

So that’s my good intention: share this economic analysis with Ms. Google MapReduce and do my itsy-weensy bit to accelerate us reducing our risks of repeating the recent global economic crisis.

However, here’s where the chink in the sense chain appears: the SemWeb platform. I entrusted the link to and contextualization of that PDF to the SemWeb platform. I no longer have access to that content. This means that the sum effect is:

* the SemWeb platform wasted my time; instead of putting the link and contextualizing it with fellow contributors on their site I’d have been safer putting it into my Gmail or my own blog; and

* the SemWeb platform is (yet again) responsible for a delay in human progress and collaboration.

* the SemWeb platform and its team has increased ignorance, discontent, annoyance and the system’s stupidity rather than advanced Enlightenment.

Yes and I do hope that the upcoming Google Wave “blows them out of the water” because that’s what their inconsiderate actions and disrespect towards users have resulted in: disappointment and disloyalty.

Meanwhile I have to go rooting for this PDF again. This time I’m bookmarking it direct into my browser.

Bada BING MS and way ahead of the WAVE Google: what’s in a brand name, Chinese-style

Saturday, May 30th, 2009

The last two days have seen the announcements of MSFT’s new Bing search platform as well as the to-be-launched Google Wave:

TechCrunch’s MG Siegler decided to make a joke out of MSFT’s choice of brand name:

http://www.techcrunch.com/2009/05/28/the-bing-definition-microsoft-probably-doesnt-want-you-to-get-in-your-fortune-cookie/

and this has been followed by all manner of inaccurate (but quite amusing) threads by people attempting to translate and discern what the word “bing” means. According to the TC post it’s “death”.

Fortunately, one commentator does note:

“According to Dr. Qi Lu, who thought about going back to live in his native China before accepting Steve Ballmer’s offer to head up Microsoft’s search effort, Bing means something a little more positive in Chinese:

“Bing” also resonates with an audience Google is yet to dominate: China.

“The actual Chinese characters are two characters, ‘Bi’ and ‘Ying’ and combined these two characters mean ‘very certain to respond’ and ‘very certain to answer’,” Dr Lu said.

“That’s a terrific representation of what our brand stands for in the Chinese language.””

For me, MSFT marketing has made the mistake of thinking they can compound two Chinese characters  “bi-ying” and anglicize them into BING — as in Chandler Bing from Friends and the Soprano’s “bada bing” — and not double-checking whether the hybrid loses something in the re-translation. One of the homophonic translations of “bing” is indeed “disease”. However there are the other translations; it all depends on the tone for the letter i in the word. Like the French language, Chinese has acute, grave, bass and double acute accents (ì, í,  ī, etc.). The difference is that in French the accents are used purely for pronunciation assistance whilst in Chinese the accent completely determines the word, its pronunciation tones and its meanings.

Here are some possible meanings for “bing”:

http://www.nciku.com/search/all/pinyin/bing

Incidentally, a TC commentator provided the link to translations for “ping” instead of “ding” (and this is why our brain cells are dying and academic research says we’re only using 10 percent of our intelligence — LOL!).

Instead of jumping straight to the “disease” translation, TC’s journalist could have opted for the version of bing which means “ice” and “consult” so the word’s English connotations with search would be “cool consult”.

As for the commentator on that TC thread who says Google’s Wave in Chinese sounds and translates as “death”  ……….NOWHERE does that word appear on nciku online for the Chinese translation of “wave”:

http://www.nciku.com/search/all/wave

Actually the only constituents of the character for “wave”, 波浪 are: water, ball and cool. This is appropriate since waves in Chinese are envisioned as ball curls over cool water, so Google’s WAVE loses less kinetic energy and power in translation than MSFT’s BING, that’s for sure.

Also, as you can see in my explanations, Chinese people think poetically, harmonically and in natural Zen because it’s incorporated in the structure of our language (written characters, homophonic pronunciations and radicals replacements etc.) itself!

Anyone lucky enough to be multi-lingual would fall about laughing all the time at the intentional and unintentional double entendres and lost in translations of all sorts of brand names and other popular terms. Previously, I’ve tried to explain that a bridegroom was getting “cold feet” to my mother — not to marrying me, btw, but in the US comedy film, The Bachelor. She said the guy should simply put on some socks!!!

That’s an example of lost in translation……….LOL.